Sinker Swami

Brandonwebbcrackerjack_4 Despite pitching his worst game of the year on election day, sinker swami Brandon Webb held off a logjam of allegedly comparable candidates to win the 2006 NL Cy Young Award

Diamondhacks didnt predict any winner, but we're delighted with the outcome, having written and written that the unassuming Webb and Astro Roy Oswalt were the most deserving candidates.

The leading vote getters were:

Voting results ¬
Player, Club 1st 2nd 3rd Points
Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks 15 7 7 103
Trevor Hoffman, Padres 12 3 8 77
Chris Carpenter, Cardinals 2 16 5 63
Roy Oswalt, Astros 3 3 7 31
Carlos Zambrano, Cubs 1 3 6
Billy Wagner, Mets 1 1 4

For all the yammering about how inseparable Webb and Carpenter appeared, it's worth noting how decisively Webb won the battle of starters, with 15 first place votes to Carpenter's pair. Carpenter, relentlessly ballyhooed as one of two clear frontrunners, finished third, exactly where he belonged. We were disappointed, however, that Hoffman outpolled Oswalt, most likely one of the league's two best starters.

A representative ballot, constructed from the above modes looks like this:

First place: Webb(15)

Second: Carpenter(16)

Third: Hoffman(8)

What prevented that order from reflecting the official outcome were twelve Oswaltcard_1 rogue voters, who bestowed first place ballots for San Diego's closer. Maybe they confused the Cy with a lifetime acheivement award, or were too lazy to ferret out distinctions within the tight pack of more valuable starters?  Whatever their reasons, if any, to elevate a 63IP pitcher who wasnt even the best reliever on his own team(see Cla Meredith) over a trio of starting horses averaging 225IP, Hoffman jumped all the way to CY runner-up on the basis of these dozen dopes - and actually came embarassingly close to winning the trophy.

Just one look at the voting disparity between Trevor and Billy Wagner, who shared distinguished but hardly distinguishable seasons, illustrates what a sham Hoffman's second place showing is. Each closer blew five saves with comparable ERA. Hoffman converted his extra opportunities(5) but Wagner threw 14% more innings - they're basically the same pitcher. So, if you're claiming Hoffman's 63IP of 2.00ERA is worth more than 220IP of 3.00 ERA, doesnt intellectual consistency(if not common sense) compel you to also vote for Wagner second or third? Yet bozos who picked Hoffman barely gave Wagner the time of day. They wrote a bunch of starters in behind Hoffman, essentially ignoring Trevor's virtual twin.

8 Comments

Do you think we affected the voting at all?

Oh yeah, definitely, Paul.


Now let's you and me go over there and solve that thing in Iraq!

Quoth Dirty Harry Callahan in Magnum Force: "A man's got to know his limitations."

And it's a shame that certain people we know and loathe are so steadfastly resistant to therapy. It's rare that I can honestly claim that I am completely innocent; but here goes: I am completely innocent.

Matt,


Excellent point on the respective closers. And where are October's naysayers who chastised you for picking Webb?

-- BB01

"And where are October's naysayers who chastised you..."


Dont you remember, one of 'em gave me his exact seat# at Yankee Stadium for the ALDS in case I wanted to 'pursue things' - I imagine it's getting chilly by now - hope he's moved on ;-)

One serious word on "picking Webb". I never picked him to win the award, at least not versus the remaining field. I just "picked" him as the league's best pitcher. Those are only vaguely correlated, enormously different, things.

When pushed, I took a stab that Webb and Carpenter were co-favorites to win, at about 30% each, so I thought Webb had as good a chance to win as any other individual, but I wasnt comfortable making him, or anyone else, an odds on favorite against the field - way too many, closely perceived candidates for that.

I just found out that Chris Young's middle name is Brandon.


Brandon Webb, Brandon Medders, Brandon Lyon, and Christopher Brandon Young.

Could the D'Backs be trying to collect all the Brandons in MLB?

Kellia

Life, Baseball & Eric James Byrnes

http://byrnesblog.mlblogs.com

"I just found out that Chris Young's middle name is Brandon"


Indeed. Quo bono, my Bay Area friend.

Quo bono?

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